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Robotics
Oct 23, 2026

U.S. humanoid robotics market could shrink significantly due to trade restrictions

Oct 23, 2026
AI Summary

Trade restrictions imposed by the U.S. government may reduce the humanoid robotics market by 58% by 2030, according to International Data Corporation. The limitations primarily affect access to Chinese manufacturers, which dominate the global supply of humanoid robots.

U.S. humanoid robotics market could shrink significantly due to trade restrictions
  • The U.S. humanoid robotics market is projected to be 58% smaller by 2030 due to trade restrictions, resulting in over $6 billion in lost revenue.
  • The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has added foreign-produced advanced robotic devices to its Covered List, blocking new models from being imported and sold in the U.S.
  • While previously authorized models can still be sold, new models require conditional approval and must undergo national-security reviews.
  • U.S. robotics companies depend on Chinese manufacturers for critical components, and supply chain restrictions may increase production costs and hinder scaling.
  • The IDC report indicates that the growth rate for the humanoid robotics sector will decrease from 13% to about 9% due to these restrictions.
  • In contrast, the market for household cleaning robots is expected to shrink by only 18% by 2030.
  • Chinese vendors currently account for approximately 95% of global humanoid robot shipments, with significant competition impacting U.S. companies like iRobot.
  • The global market for humanoid robots is expected to continue growing, with projections of over 750,000 units shipped by 2030.
humanoid robotsforeign policychinarobotics revenueus market